Does It Work?
An analysis of the
pros and cons of the Israeli parliamentary system.
By Ziv Hellman
This article looks at the efficacy of the Israeli
electoral system. A description of how the system works can be found in the
first part of this two-part article.
Advantages
The Israeli electoral system has several positive aspects in
its favor as compared with other systems. These include:
1)
Systems like Israel's ensure minority representation. The
proportional representation system is arguably one of the most democratic
systems ever invented, ensuring that a broad range of different opinions get
national expression in an elected body mirroring the views in society at large.
In contrast, under the United States' winner-take-all district system it is
theoretically possible, for example, to have a situation in which 49.9 percent
of the country votes for the Democratic Party but fully 100 percent of the
senators are Republicans. This would happen if 51.1 percent of the voters in
every state vote for Republican Senate candidates and thus win each Senate
contest. The proportional system is expressly designed to avoid distortions of
this sort. It is especially important in a country such as Israel that has
well-defined minority populations, such as the Arab population and the Haredim
(ultra-Orthodox Jews) who might find themselves unfairly shut out of the
political process under a different system.
2)
Coalitions encourage compromises. When governments can only be
formed by coalitions of different parties, government policies are determined
by compromises between the different viewpoints represented in the government.
This gives the system an automatic tendency to avoid extremist policies.
3)
Governments must keep in touch with national sentiments. Under
the Israeli system, governments that apply policies that are very unpopular
increase the chances that a vote of no confidence will be taken and vote their
members out of office. Prime ministers and governments must therefore always
stay on their toes and gauge how the electorate accepts their policies.
Disadvantages
Unfortunately, there are negatives too, and the Israeli
system, like any other, has exhibited some problems.
1)
Proportional systems can lead to disproportionate
magnification of power for small parties. Coalitions in Israel have frequently
taken aboard parties with as little as two Knesset members, just in order to
pass the magic number of 61 supporters in Knesset, the number needed to ensure
a majority and form a government. In exchange for joining the government
coalition, these small parties will get to control ministries and budgets, thus
giving them enormous power beyond all proportion to the number of voters they
represent. This has caused resentment in other segments of the Israeli public.
2)
Coalitions can lead to incoherent policies or government
inaction. Due to the fact that coalitions can include parties bringing to the
government table different and sometimes contradictory ideologies, government
policies in Israel have been known to be incoherent on many issues, with
different ministers within the same government supporting opposing views. In
the worst cases, governments can be paralyzed into inaction when bold moves are
needed, because the members of the coalition cancel each others' votes.
3)
No-confidence votes can lead to instability. Small parties or
even individual Knesset members within the coalition, who feel that they are
not receiving enough of a budget, support for pet legislation, or attention can
threaten to walk out of the coalition if the Prime Minister does not respond to
their demands. If their pulling out of the coalition can indeed translate into
a successful no-confidence vote and the collapse of the government, this is a
threat no prime minister can ignore. Since 1996, Israel has had no fewer than
four different prime ministers, each of whom complained that the amount of time
and effort needed to deal with the near constant mini-crises created by
coalition members come at the expense of resources needed to deal with true
crises in the affairs of state.
Electoral Reform
In April 1990, Israelis watched with growing unease a drama
unfolding in the Knesset. Shimon Peres had a month earlier toppled the
government of Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir by a vote of no-confidence, and
Peres was attempting to form a new government with himself at the helm, without
calling for new elections. At the last minute, Peres fell short of a majority
in the Knesset by one vote, and Shamir retained his position. But Peres'
maneuver did succeed in catalyzing broad sentiments in favor of electoral
reform. How could it happen, many Israelis asked themselves, that the identity
of the prime minister and composition of the government could possibly be
changed thoroughly by the actions of 120 members of the Knesset, without the
issue being brought to a vote before the collective public?
Ever since then, the question of whether the system works
and how it can be improved has been a regular subject of discourse in Israel.
Many people express great dissatisfaction with the system and the weaknesses
they see in it, but there has been no agreement on the question of how to
reform the system.
The one major electoral reform conducted in Israel during
the past decade was the direct election of the prime minister, in which voters
voted for individual prime minister candidates separate from the vote for
parties vying for Knesset seats. However, given the short and turbulent terms
of the two prime ministers elected under this system, the direct elections
concept was discontinued and the previous system was restored, returning
electoral reform to square one.
The Future
Among the ideas perennially suggested to reform the Israeli
political system is the replacement of proportional representation with the
Anglo-American system of district representatives. This would be accomplished
by dividing Israel into 120 districts, each with one Knesset member. The
country would be led by a directly elected prime minister who would serve under
a mandate from the people rather than being dependent on tenuous and shifting
coalitions.
A counter-claim in defense of the proportional
representation system points to the fact that district systems have their
downsides too. Gerrymandering--the drawing of district boundaries in order to
reduce or magnify the representation of a particular segment of society--is
always a concern in district representation, one that is absent in proportional
representation systems. Another concern is that representatives of particular
districts might favor the interests of their constituents above national
considerations.
In response to these objections, a compromise suggestion has
been raised, which is based on Central European electoral systems of recent
vintage. This idea calls for half of the Knesset members to be district
representatives, while the other half would be "at-large" members
elected under a proportional system, thus attaining the best of both systems.
The half-and-half proposal is currently only one suggestion
out of many being discussed by Israelis. Meanwhile, the electoral system
remains the same proportional system it has been since the founding of the
state, with all the attendant challenges. The next Israeli prime minister will
likely need the fortitude to deal with the same type of coalition pressures
with which all his predecessors struggled.
Ziv Hellman is a Jerusalem-based writer and
mathematician. The former business editor at the Jerusalem Post, Hellman
was a founding member of Peace Watch, the watchdog
group that reports on the implementation of the Oslo Agreements. He also led
the Israeli elections observer team that evaluated the Palestinian Authority
elections.